Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.015178 0.017679 0.020444 0.023724 0.027506 0.031728 0.036795
2025-12-14 0.010790 0.013835 0.017515 0.022280 0.028278 0.035566 0.045084
2025-12-21 0.008272 0.011531 0.015786 0.021728 0.029789 0.040315 0.055079
2025-12-28 0.007025 0.010535 0.015439 0.022751 0.033330 0.048027 0.069931
2026-01-04 0.005956 0.009540 0.014861 0.023274 0.036165 0.055078 0.084817
2026-01-11 0.004856 0.008268 0.013627 0.022567 0.037004 0.059271 0.096026
2026-01-18 0.004098 0.007380 0.012806 0.022313 0.038417 0.064397 0.109203
2026-01-25 0.003433 0.006518 0.011869 0.021686 0.039072 0.068315 0.120835
2026-02-01 0.002927 0.005840 0.011124 0.021245 0.039922 0.072580 0.133471
2026-02-08 0.002542 0.005313 0.010559 0.021018 0.041079 0.077443 0.147640
2026-02-15 0.002181 0.004770 0.009874 0.020450 0.041500 0.080991 0.159790
2026-02-22 0.002021 0.004605 0.009891 0.021236 0.044581 0.089753 0.182607
2026-03-01 0.001793 0.004262 0.009514 0.021196 0.046076 0.095774 0.201090
2026-03-08 0.001537 0.003814 0.008847 0.020455 0.046038 0.098782 0.213988
2026-03-15 0.001358 0.003512 0.008448 0.020232 0.047057 0.104036 0.232082
2026-03-22 0.001294 0.003473 0.008635 0.021343 0.051127 0.116108 0.265905
2026-03-29 0.001201 0.003345 0.008593 0.021917 0.054062 0.126074 0.296306
2026-04-05 0.001051 0.003040 0.008080 0.021291 0.054128 0.129725 0.313115
2026-04-12 0.000941 0.002824 0.007754 0.021073 0.055129 0.135585 0.335597
2026-04-19 0.000828 0.002578 0.007311 0.020491 0.055155 0.139176 0.353178
2026-04-26 0.000736 0.002376 0.006953 0.020078 0.055548 0.143670 0.373406
2026-05-03 0.000663 0.002216 0.006686 0.019866 0.056428 0.149433 0.397357
2026-05-10 0.000587 0.002032 0.006321 0.019329 0.056372 0.152852 0.415820